Report Gaindegia 2008: Expert analysis- Aitziber Etxezarreta and Irati Susperregi

The housing sector and housing policy in the Basque Country
Aitziber Etxezarreta
Irati Susperregi
Department of Applied Economics, EHU/UPV (University of the Basque Country) /
San Sebastian University Business School
The housing sector has undoubtedly seen a major boom in recent years. The number of homes built has increased considerably in all areas of the Basque Country, along with their market prices (calculated by the square metre). However, though these characteristics are common both locally and elsewhere, it can not be said that the other aspects of the housing situation have shown the same tendency and nature in all areas of South and The North Basque Country.

If we look closely at the housing situation, we find both similarities and differences, and above all, different ways of presenting the facts – in other words, with different types of statistics. Nevertheless, there is no generalised tendency which highlights all the statistics, namely the significant rise in prices reflected in the figures and the charts. Indeed, over the last seven years the price of a new home has increased significantly in the three territories. This rise has fluctuated between 74% and 132%.

The greatest increases have occurred in The South Basque Country, mainly in the Basque Autonomous Community (hereafter referred to as BAC) where the price per square metre has risen from 1,569 euros to 3,646 euros, followed by Nafarroa Garaia (from 925 euros to 1,698 euros). Lastly, The North Basque Country has seen a considerable increase in house prices (1,654 euros to 2,871 euros), though the percentage rise is lower than in The South Basque Country.

On the other hand, as we have said, things have evolved differently in other parts of the Basque Country. The policies implemented in recent years enable us to draw up a social profile of each administrative area and thus it is possible to predict whether the differences that have existed in the past will become greater or be reduced. In this way we can conclude that, in terms of the nature of the construction of new housing, each area of the Basque Country shows its own particular trajectory.

In other words, though the construction of homes – whether for the open market or for officially protected housing schemes – has risen in all areas, this trend has played out differently in each as a consequence of local policies. In fact it must be emphasised that we are talking about two states with very different traditions in housing policy. Traditions in one state (rented social housing in North Basque Country) have very different characteristics and consequences than in the other (officially protected housing in The South Basque Country).

In the two administrative areas within the Spanish state - Nafarroa Garaia and the BAC - housing policies have generally followed the Mediterranean model (Allen, J., J. Barlow, J. Leal, T. Maloutas, and L. Padovani, 2004; Etxezarreta, 2007) typical of backward and inadequate welfare states (Esping-Andersen, 2000; Barlow and Duncan, 1994), with policies inextricably bound up with ownership and with very little development of public housing stock.

Within the French state, in contrast, the welfare state has been more strongly developed and has implemented more corporatist housing policies similar to those of northern Europe (Trilla, 2001; Priemus and Dieleman, 2002). The concept of social housing has been taken more literally and local housing policy has been based on a public social renting housing stock. North and The South Basque Country are thus very different from each other in terms of housing policies.

As policies based on different concepts have to be treated differently, when we talk of “intervened” housing and “public” housing in this study, we are referring to protected housing in BAC and in Nafarroa Garaia (mostly owner-occupied officially protected housing, known as “Vivienda de Protección Oficial” or VPO) and to social renting in The North Basque Country (rented accommodation of the kind found throughout Europe except where the Mediterranean model is followed).

Going back to the results of our analysis, in order to compare the three areas we can look at the relative percentages for new public and private housing. This helps us in some degree to define the “level of intervention” in each area. This is the idea which is illustrated in the chart shown below.

The main conclusions drawn from this analysis are as follows: firstly, over the period analysed the relative amount of public housing rose more sharply in the BAC. As the chart shows, taking public housing as a ratio of home construction for the open market, in the BAC this went from 80% to 120% by the end of the period.

However, in Nafarroa Garaia, the figure starts off at 60% and after a clear downward tendency (reaching a low of 10% in 2004), it ends up at around 40% at the end of the period. Lastly, in The North Basque Country, the availability of new social rental housing shows a clear decline, from an initial 40% to a final 20%.

The level of public intervention seems, therefore, to have been greatest in the BAC over these years, compared to Nafarroa Garaia and The North Basque Country. This is one of the main conclusions that can be drawn from this analysis. Furthermore, in the BAC the variable defined began at a relatively high level and has shown an upward trend, whereas in Nafarroa Garaia and The North Basque Country, public intervention has declined, though it has shown a slight increase over the last two years.

Secondly, the importance of traditional policies has been confirmed, given that the latest statistics also bear out the customary structural differences. In other words, in The South Basque Country the policy of social rental housing has gained little strength as yet (as indicated by its absence from the statistics), and in the statistics for The North Basque Country there is no public or “intervened” housing in addition to social rental housing.

Given this data, it can not be claimed that there is any process of convergence under way between these three areas, but neither can we say that the North-The South Basque Country dichotomy is being reinforced, as in recent years we see that the traditional policies have been applied more weakly in both territories. In fact, the housing sector was going through one of the worst moments in its history. In future, therefore, further research will have to be carried out into trends and developments in the housing situation and housing policy in the different administrative areas of the Basque Country, and the compatible and differential processes involved.

By territory

For The North Basque Country housing sector, statistics show on the one hand how the construction of new homes is divided between those for sale either privately or to collectives; and on the other hand they show the number of social rental housing units2. If we examine the trends, the ratio of collective housing has been on the increase, albeit a slight one, and in regard to the land use in the territory there is trend leaning towards sustainable development (indeed we know that the chaotic rise in numbers of individual homes -originating from over-flexible legislation- was very harmful from the perspective of sustainable development).

However, as far as The North Basque Country territory is concerned, the figures provided by the Bayonne Chamber of Commerce confirm that the number of individual homes rose by 9.7% in The North Basque Country between 1999 and 2005, compared to collectives which rose by 23.5%. On the other hand, rented social housing went into decline from 2001 onwards, till it reached a point where its 2006 ratio was below 1999 levels (23% and 28% respectively).

As for prices, these have increased by an equal amount for new private houses and for rented social housing. The price of individual homes has gone up by 70% and the collectives by 73%. However, the price of rented social housing has risen by 20%. Prices rose spectacularly in 2002 and 2003: in two years, the price of individual homes rose by 40% and collective homes by 45%.

Nafarroa Garaia housing sector data enables us to analyse how new homes - protected or open market - are distributed. After fluctuating development, the percentage of protected housing has gone into decline overall. In 1997 51% of new homes were protected; by 2004 this had fallen to 11% and in 2006 the figure was 31%.

The price of homes on the open market has more than doubled. There was steady growth from 1997 to 2006, the price per square metre rising from 798 to 1,698 euros. Besides this, the maximum price per square metre of officially protected housing (VPO) also went up, increasing between 2000 and 2006 by 70% from 785 to 1,338 euros.

Various conclusions can be drawn from the Basque Autonomous Community housing sector figures. Firstly, ten years being analysed, it must be emphasised that the amount of protected housing has increased considerably. In 1996, only 10% of new homes were officially protected, whereas by 2006 this figure had reached 28% after a steady increase year by year. Rented accommodation, on the other hand, occupied a small percentage of the number of homes on offer each year at the beginning of the period (6% in 1996 and 10% in 1997), and after falling, this percentage rose slightly at the end of the period (9% in 2005 and 12% in 2006).

As for house prices, these rose both in the case of protected homes and private ones. However, the increase was greater in the private sector. Over the period analysed, the price per square metre rose by 143% in homes on the open market – from 1,502 to 3,646 euros. In the case of homes with some kind of protected status (officially protected housing and social rental), prices increased by 85% - from 696 euros per square metre to 1,285 euros.

Bibliography
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In the Pdf together with the analysis includes a brief report that gives us a perspective on the subject.